Macro Intelligence

Druckenmiller Macro Terminal

Indicadores macro clave desde la óptica de Stan Druckenmiller. Datos históricos vía FRED · Análisis e inteligencia vía IA.

DRUCKENMILLER MACRO TERMINALKEYS [1–9/0] TO NAVIGATE
MIXEDUPDATED 08-07-2026, 09:22

FRED / BLS / BEA / TREASURY · YAHOO FINANCE · CFTC COT · AI-POWERED ANALYSIS

DRUCKENMILLER READ

The dominant force is still liquidity, but it is no longer uniformly supportive because policy rates remain restrictive while the balance-sheet impulse is fading. Capital is rotating toward duration-sensitive and defensive assets on any growth scare, while the primary trade is to stay selective rather than chase broad beta.

Macro conditions are mixed: inflation has cooled enough to keep rate-cut expectations alive, but growth is still decelerating and labor data are softening from a resilient level. Risk assets face a push-pull between easing policy hopes and tighter real financial conditions.

MIXED
Next CPI/PCE prints for reacceleration or renewed disinflationLabor-market inflection in claims, payrolls, and unemployment10Y Treasury yield versus the 4.25%-4.50% Fed funds backdropCredit spreads and funding stress as QT continues

MARKET SNAPSHOT

SPX

7,413

+0.02%

H:7,610 L:6,238

NDX

28,039

-0.32%

H:30,661 L:22,763

RTY

2,948

+0.62%

H:3,024 L:2,167

DJI

52,210

+0.51%

H:53,056 L:43,589

VIX

18.82

+0.80%

H:31.05 L:13.47

DXY

101.50

+0.03%

H:101.61 L:96.22

GOLD

4,044

-0.76%

H:5,318 L:3,293

WTI

80.20

-2.92%

H:112.95 L:55.27

BTC

63,369

-0.56%

H:124,753 L:58,559

MACRO REGIME TIMELINE — HISTORIAL DE SNAPSHOTS

RÉGIMEN ACTUAL:MIXED2m desde 2026-05-25
Risk-off1d · 2026-05-03
Mixed1d · 2026-05-05
Risk-off1d · 2026-05-08
Mixed1d · 2026-05-11
Risk-on1d · 2026-05-14
Mixed6w · 2026-05-25

MACRO PULSE — INDICADORES CLAVE

RISK HEAT MAP — DRUCKENMILLER FRAMEWORK

HIGH

Geopolitical

Geopolitical tensions remain a headline risk, keeping energy and defense premiums elevated.

ELEVATED

Inflation Stickiness

Disinflation has slowed in core services and shelter, leaving policy restrictive.

MODERATE

Labor Deterioration

Job growth remains positive, but claims and openings have softened from peak strength.

ELEVATED

Fiscal / Deficit

Large Treasury issuance continues to pressure the long end and term premium.

MODERATE

Credit Stress

Spreads are contained but not tight enough to signal all-clear for cyclical risk.

MODERATE

Financial Conditions

Equities are supported, but real yields and funding conditions remain restrictive.

LOW

Systemic Risk

No acute systemic event is visible in the current macro data.

MODERATE

Growth Momentum

Growth is slowing, but not collapsing, with services still offsetting manufacturing weakness.

SPREADS CLAVE

HY OAS
+10bp (MoM)279bp
IG OAS
+2bp (MoM)80bp
2S10S SPREAD
-3bp (MoM)34bp

Cambio vs mes anterior · valores en puntos base (bps)

FRED · último dato disponible: 2026-07-24

MARKET BREADTH — % ACCIONES S&P 500 SOBRE SMA200

% >SMA200 53%
% >SMA50 56%
% RSI>70 13%
Barras: % >SMA200 Línea: % >SMA50 Línea: % RSI>70S&P 500 · vía IA
>60% Saludable45–60% Neutral<45% Deterioro

UPCOMING EVENTS

HIGH

2026-07-30

FOMC Decision

Hold at 4.25-4.50%

HIGH

2026-07-15

CPI Release

Core inflation near 2.8%-3.0% y/y

HIGH

2026-08-07

Nonfarm Payrolls

Cooling but still positive job growth

HIGH

2026-07-30

GDP Advance Q2

Growth to remain positive but slower than late-2025 pace

BULLISH BEARISH WARNING NEUTRAL
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